The New York Times Forgot it Peddled a ‘Red Wave’ that Never Came

by | Nov 11, 2022 | News

Ahead of the midterm elections, exhaustive mainstream coverage from outlets including the New York Times cited polls and predictions claiming a “red wave” would beat out Democrats for control of key states and seats. Instead, Democrats came away with several wins, while the House and Senate remain contested.

In the wake of this red “trickle,” the Times has trampled past recognition of its inaccurate predictions, instead deflecting blame and doubling down on irresponsible election coverage.

The outlet has been content to obscure its role in hyping up GOP performance, in one piece merely stating, “All indications were that [Republicans] would end up at best with one of the weakest performances in decades by the out-of-power party against a first-term president’s party.” As Glenn Fleishman pointed out on Twitter, the paper failed to reflect on the origin of said “indications.”

Another news update observed “No Signs of ‘Red Wave’ That Republicans Expected.” Again the Times omitted its involvement in this expectation, such that Markos Moulitsas likened its inability to accept responsibility to that of a toddler.

Guest essayist Thomas B. Edsall spoke to Republicans’ advertising campaign focusing on crime and social disorder under the obstinate headline, “For Republicans, Crime Pays, No Matter What Else Happens.” His piece assured readers that, while crime failed to stoke GOP wins this election, “The issue isn’t going away anytime soon and may well play a major role in 2024.”

Edsall claimed the GOP’s strategy tying Democrats to “defund the police” messages undercut key Democrats, “including many who nonetheless hung on to their seats.” Kevin Gosztola said this amounts to election denialism, and that the issue of crime is relevant “only cause shitty pundits like Edsall won’t stop peddling lies.”

The New York Times, alongside other corporate outlets, heralded Democrats’ demise weeks before the midterms. Its October 19 headline “Democrats’ Feared Red October Has Arrived” aimed to explain why Democrats would lose badly three weeks hence. It cited too much focus on reproductive rights as the reason, while a later piece used Super PAC spending data to conclude that Democrats have nearly given up on Republican territory.

Ultimately, as Popular Information’s Judd Legum wrote, “Prediction-based coverage comes at a high cost because it crowds out the coverage that voters actually need. To make an informed decision, voters need to know the practical impact of voting for each candidate.” The New York Times’ failure to recognize its mistakes betrays a troubling trend for election coverage as a support for democracy.

 

More from The Edge

Fake News or State News? Trump’s First 100 Days Blur the Line

“Over the past months, it has become clear that I would not be allowed to run the show as I have always run it, to make independent decisions based on what was right for ‘60 Minutes,’ right for the audience,” exclaimed top executive producer of the CBS News show 60...

Winners to Attend the 17th Annual Izzy Award Celebration at Ithaca College

The Park Center for Independent Media (PCIM) at Ithaca College is honored to announce that this year’s Izzy Award “for outstanding achievement in independent media” will be shared by three journalists and two outlets that undertook path-breaking and in-depth reporting...

The Use of Deadly Sarin Nerve Gas During the Secret War on Laos

Operation Tailwind Revisited after CIA Report to Kissinger Released Picture this scenario: It is September 11, 1970. American commandoes wearing nondescript fatigues devoid of insignia and dog tags and carrying weapons not made in the USA attack a North Vietnamese...

Awaiting Fascism on Inauguration Day

In its Misogynist, Racist, Newest Forms As we wait for Trump and his tech-bros to take over, the waiting unsettles and disorients. So, this is my offering for inauguration day. Do not passively submit. Do not feel helpless. Feel courageous rather than scared. Find a...

Senators Must Resist Trump’s Cabinet of Sexual Abusers

Trump’s cabinet and advisor choices are shaping up to be a who’s who of alleged sexual abusers and harassers. Pete Hegseth, Trump’s pick for defense secretary, has been accused of raping a woman in 2007. Education department pick Linda McMahon was named in a lawsuit...

Nominations Now Open for Annual “Izzy Award” for Independent Media

The Izzy Award will celebrate its 17th year this coming spring, and nominations are officially open for work produced during the 2024 calendar year. The Park Center for Independent Media at Ithaca College (PCIM) will again grant this honor — named after legendary...